Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009157 0.010818 0.012825 0.015471 0.018933 0.023403 0.029783
2025-09-07 0.006861 0.008731 0.011252 0.015029 0.020803 0.029796 0.046065
2025-09-14 0.005570 0.007412 0.010065 0.014387 0.021749 0.034954 0.064146
2025-09-21 0.004858 0.006696 0.009491 0.014375 0.023527 0.042287 0.093472
2025-09-28 0.004465 0.006357 0.009382 0.015038 0.026717 0.054391 0.151997
2025-10-05 0.004266 0.006270 0.009643 0.016408 0.031939 0.075622 0.294961
2025-10-12 0.003985 0.006000 0.009524 0.016996 0.035724 0.097139 0.547688
2025-10-19 0.003646 0.005580 0.009057 0.016727 0.037241 0.113218 0.912589
2025-10-26 0.003406 0.005302 0.008807 0.016869 0.040014 0.138764 1.882869
2025-11-02 0.003152 0.004969 0.008398 0.016538 0.041242 0.159842 3.817726
2025-11-09 0.002866 0.004548 0.007758 0.015512 0.039784 0.164604 5.947392
2025-11-16 0.002639 0.004217 0.007265 0.014762 0.039023 0.173719 11.135693
2025-11-23 0.002509 0.004073 0.007171 0.015119 0.042907 0.229543 216.762084
2025-11-30 0.002327 0.003813 0.006807 0.014689 0.043663 0.266073 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002152 0.003552 0.006406 0.014067 0.043336 0.293829 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002041 0.003403 0.006231 0.014055 0.045789 0.371441 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001982 0.003354 0.006274 0.014698 0.052006 0.567852 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001966 0.003387 0.006510 0.016024 0.063528 1.135748 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001906 0.003325 0.006510 0.016594 0.071567 2.013735 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001811 0.003180 0.006288 0.016333 0.073855 2.809423 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001743 0.003086 0.006183 0.016470 0.079508 4.957922 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001660 0.002955 0.005968 0.016150 0.081302 7.429664 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001555 0.002769 0.005595 0.015157 0.076513 7.184622 NaN